Football predictions built on statistics, explained openly
FootIQ is a football prediction web app. It estimates the probability of match outcomes with statistical models fitted on real match data, has every candidate reviewed by an AI model, and publishes only the picks that pass strict quality rules.
What FootIQ is
FootIQ turns football data into probabilities. For every fixture in the 53 competitions we cover, it models how many goals each team is likely to score, converts that into the probability of each market (for example "over 1.5 goals" or "both teams to score") and checks the result against bookmaker prices and data quality. A pick is published only when it clears the minimum probability for its market. The result is a short daily list of predictions with the evidence behind each one.
Who it is for
- Football fans who want a data-driven view of upcoming matches.
- People who follow statistics such as expected goals (xG), form and head-to-head records and want them in one place.
- Anyone who prefers probabilities with transparent methods over opinion-based tips.
What you get
Free daily tips
Up to 3 "over 1.5 goals" picks every day, free with an account.
Premium markets
Daily Combo, both teams to score, goals per half, match winner, half-time/full-time and correct score.
Live match analysis
Live scores and statistics for everyone; AI-reviewed live predictions for Premium members.
Open results
Every settled pick is public, with settlement rules and definitions.
How the predictions are made
- Real match history (current and previous season) is collected for each competition.
- Three statistical models estimate each team's attack and defence strength: Dixon–Coles, bivariate Poisson and an empirical-Bayes model that uses xG where available.
- The models are combined with weights learned from their out-of-sample accuracy, and the probabilities are calibrated so that "70%" means roughly seven in ten.
- Bookmaker prices (with their margin removed) are blended in, and quality gates reject picks with weak data or strong disagreement.
- An AI model (currently from OpenAI) reviews the full evidence and may reject a pick or lower its probability; it can never raise it.
The full explanation is on the methodology page.
Competitions covered
We currently cover 53 competitions, including the major European leagues, UEFA club competitions and selected international tournaments. The football predictions page lists all of them.
Transparent results
So far 22 published predictions have been settled (21 won, 1 lost, 0 void). That is too small a sample to judge accuracy, so we do not advertise a win rate yet; every settled pick is listed in the track record.
Pricing
A free account includes the daily free tips, live scores and all results. Premium unlocks every market, live predictions and the full evidence for $14.99 per month or $119.00 per year. See pricing.